Tomorrow's India and China Report
- Close Window -
The purpose of this report is to investigate whether India has the demographic potential to replicate the China model - that is achieve very high GDP growth (and with that household affluence) as a result of leveraging its large young labour force.

Many people jump to the conclusion that it has this potential because in their belief, India has:

  • A large population (1.2 billion)
  • Low cost labour force (average wage is US$3,609 per annum)
  • Educated labour force
  • Growing domestic economy
  • Therefore it is the next China
This report examines whether this is possible - and why or why not.


Table of Contents is given below

Issued May 2011



Table of Contents
Summary
5
Overall Population Trends
8
Relative to the World
9
Relative Age Profiles 2011
10
Implications for Births
11
Implications for Births (Con't)
12
Future Age Structure
13
Future Age Structure (Con't)
14
The Household
15
Household Size
16
Impact on Number of Households and Composition
17
Impact on Number of Households and Composition (Con't)
18
Lifecycle Profile of the Population
19
Age Profile Impact on Lifecycle Profile
20
Age Profile Impact on Lifecycle Profile (Con't)
21
Education
22
Relative Education Profile - 2011
23
Education Implications - India's Challenge
24
Implications for Future Education Profile
25
Implications for Future Education Profile (Con't)
26
Urbanisation
27
Urbanisation - China
28
Urbanisation - India
29
Employment
30
Size of Labour Force
31
Size of Labour Force (Con't)
32
Dependents per Worker
33
Labour Force Profile
34
Labour Force Profile (Con't)
35
Gross Productivity per Worker
36
Household Incomes
37
Household Incomes as a Percent of Private consumption Component of GDP
38
Relative Household Incomes - 2011
39
Relative Household Incomes - 2011 (Con't)
40
Trend in Overall Household Income Distribution
41
Expenditure and Savings Patterns - China
42
Expenditure and Savings Patterns - India
43
Share of US$8,000 + Households by State/Province
44
Copyright
45